A
Few Words from the Editor
I would scarcely be believed if I asserted that neither Mark
Wegierski nor I had any prior knowledge of what the other intended to
compose for this issue of Praesidium.
The happy coincidence of themes is really natural enough,
however. Mark’s interests
have typically run toward the future, while my tendency is to scrutinize
the past for some clue about how we have reached our present position.
It was indeed perhaps inevitable that one day I should decide to
bend my investigations slightly forward as Mr. Wegierski assembled yet
another prognostication from his superior awareness of movies, websites,
board games, science fiction, and other pop-cultural outlets of
expressions addressing tomorrow.
I should have to say, too, that we have both run true to form.
The Wegierski essay appearing in this issue indexes notions of
space travel or extraterrestrial challenge to reigning political
ideologies. The future, I
believe Mark would say (and I would utterly agree), will never transform
us in the sense of lifting us out of preexisting cultural categories,
but can only open up new vistas whose landscape those categories will
soon determine—for better or for worse.
For my part, I discovered that I could not transcend the insight
(repeated perhaps too often in my piece) that moral choice will
influence our tomorrows infinitely more than super-conductors or
time-machines. To be sure,
these two preoccupations—the cultural and the moral—are narrowly
related: both share the conviction, for example, that technological
wonders of themselves really offer no durable escape from our major
problems unless accompanied by a new cultural or personal outlook.
I suppose I would emphasize that culture cannot change unless its
individual representatives insist upon alterations; while perhaps Mr.
Wegierski would say that individuals are built by their culture.
The chicken or the egg….
Into this mix falls an extraordinary work of fiction—not a
short story, but an unbridled vision of how two contrasting cities of
the future might look—shadowed by a few reflections on how the
transformed physical environment may transform its creators, in return.
I admit that I encouraged Mr. Moseby to offer me this work once
he reviewed some possible themes with me: I instantly recognized a
likely resonance with the two essays I have mentioned.
Sure enough, the flight of fantasy probably declares even more
powerfully than the essays that our technology, no matter how
miraculous, will always return the ball to our court—will always be
more mirror before what we are than window upon what we might be.
The fact is that we will never really be anything very different
from what we are—that is, unless our technology “advances” so far
that it usurps the power of decision-making from us, leaving us
emasculated and lobotomized. But
then, you know, we humans have always entertained a tendency to
self-destruction… so that, too, would be nothing new under the sun.
The Moseby story does not squint at this unpleasant possibility
(discussed in both essays). It
is haunted, however, by a constant awareness that a certain density of
people-per-area or a certain predominant height of ceiling or color of
housing can have immense consequences upon the community’s perception
of life. To me, that is the
story’s “message”—or, to be less Philistine in my choice of
critical terms, that is its signifié,
its enduring echo. Whatever
we build tomorrow—and we may well be able to build just about
anything—is what we shall have to occupy and dwell in for years to
come. The unlimited freedom
of conception will be, and always is, severely circumscribed by the
physical fact of creation.
There remains Dr. Bertonneau’s essay, which is not
the second half of a two-part discourse on misunderstood composers
but simply a second tribute to the most neglected art, quite possibly,
of our time. I asked the
author for a brief summary of the essay for use on the “contents”
page, and received instead rather more detail than I could fit thereon.
Here, however, it fits perfectly: “Frederick Delius was a self-consciously
Nietzschean composer who sought to represent in music the underlying
beauty of the purely natural order, but in spite of himself, he seems to
have testified that intrinsic to all beauty is a spark of the divine—a
kind of atheist's faux pas.
This ironic reversal of intention might explain why modern and
postmodern musicologists have disdained Delius’s works.
Delius is, at the very least, a supreme musical artist whose
music all culturally literate people should know. Delius
stands at an important crossroads of music and literature.”
So what has
Mount
Parnassus
to do with
Mount Palomar
? Nothing much, I’m
afraid—not unless we forge a connection.
In this issue’s context, I suggest that Dr. Bertonneau’s
piece may remind us a) that we are losing our taste for “the finer
things” as we eagerly plan space stations, and b) that an heroic
individualism which undertakes to reconstruct the universe without God,
rejecting its own finitude and corruption, can only re-enact the
tragedies of what it considers a quaint, unusable past.
~J.
H.
back to Contents
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A
Taxonomy of North American Society’s Narratives
of Catastrophe and Dissolution
John
R. Harris
Like many of this journal’s devoted readers, I have come to
appreciate Mark Wegierski’s clinical assessments of civilization’s
chances to survive another century, or to survive in a certain
form—and even his mere presentation of likely post-civilized alternatives without further comment.
This is an Aristotelian endeavor, open to charges of being dry or
(the cardinal sin these days) without passion. Yet the
passion for passion is itself highly toxic, and may be regarded (I
certainly regard it so) as a symptom of cultural collapse.
When I was little more than a boy, Sir Kenneth Clark was
assembling his magnificent
BBC
series Civilisation, an epic
documentary which integrated visual art and architecture seamlessly with
the music and literature of shifting times and customs.
(The series has grown more valuable than ever today since, all
unwittingly, Sir Kenneth committed to film several of Europe’s most
historically rich metropolitan areas just before they would dissolve in
the sludge of traffic and contemptuous alien populations.)
I distinctly recall the scene—it has been haunting me for
years—where the grand old man crunched through the riverbed gravel
beneath a Roman aqueduct in southern France and delivered the following
lines: “There is a poem by the modern Greek poet, Cavafy, in which he
imagines the people of an antique town like Alexandria waiting every day
for the barbarians to come and sack the city.
Finally the barbarians move off somewhere else and the city is
saved; but the people are disappointed—it would have been better than
nothing.”
How well I know that sentiment from observations of my fellow
Westerners during my own lifetime! I
recall also, a mere twenty years ago now, an excursion to the ancient
Irish site of Emain Macha which I took in the company of several young
scholars, all of us enrolled in the Dublin Institute for Advanced
Studies’ summer program. The
talk in the bus at one point became snagged upon the image of our being
stopped by an IRA roadblock (for Emain Macha lies a few miles within the
Ulster border). There would
be bearded men with machine guns (my compatriots fantasized with
shivering delight)—and if we made a break for it, the machine guns
would shoot out our tires. I
drew only dark stares when I laughed that a bus moving at 40 miles per
hour would not only shatter any extempore obstruction, but would advance so far along our twisting
rural road that, by the time the blackguards could extract themselves
from “the furzy hedge” (as John Millington Synge has dubbed it),
their hiccoughing automatics could never hit any target so small as a
tire. I quickly realized
that these thin-shouldered, well-washed Ph.D. candidates wanted to be detained by road agents.
Perhaps the women wanted to be kidnapped and ravished, and the
men to be recruited under duress. Such
was their boredom. The
learning which had been heaped upon them seemed, if anything, to have
multiplied their impatience and disgust with the resources of Western
culture for bestowing coherence and value upon life.
They wanted to be profoundly shaken up: they wanted to become
passion’s next prey.
Anyone who has ever endured immense emotional strain knows that
the calm voice of an analytical Aristotle, far from being tedious and
deathly, is a lifeline back to sanity.
You cannot not cultivate a cool head and still survive in circumstances where
people behave like ravening animals.
Actually to court the excesses of taraxia,
the opprobrious turbulence of emotions universally condemned in ancient
philosophy, is to grow infatuated with lunacy.
Yet it is an inescapable truth that many of our best educated and
most influential citizens long to be somewhat “out of their heads”.
Why is that, and what prognosis does it suggest for our sickly
ruin of a culture? I should
like to make my own best effort at taxonomizing the possibilities, as
surgically as I can. Though
my attempt is doomed to be more Theophrastian than Aristotelian as I
inventory my experience of people, I solemnly vow to purge irony of
bile.
I.
Natural Calamity
To begin with, allow me to dispose of roughly half a dozen lurid
scenarios much publicized in popular fiction, made-for-TV movies, and
even—lately—the political forum, all forecasting the collapse of our
civilization due to a natural calamity which mankind will either provoke
or failed to neutralize. I
have global warming very much in mind, to be sure; but it is only the
early twenty-first century’s most compelling projection of our
species’ suicide, for reasons to be discussed shortly.
As well as I can recall, it was preceded by 1) a high alert that
the Western United States, in particular, would run out of water; 2) an
alarm that acid rain would massively destroy crops, voiding several
vital links in the food chain; 3) a fear of the impending earthquakes
that are sure to devastate major population centers along the West
Coast; 4) apprehension over a large meteor’s colliding with the Earth
and plunging the planet into a “clean” nuclear winter; and, just
before the recent heat-up of Global Warming Anxiety, 5) a nerve-racking
rumor that a tsunami like that which scourged Southeast Asia on
Christmas of 2004 could well wash over the East Coast’s population
centers with unspeakable slaughter.
Now, all such doomsday scenarios have several elements in common.
Each enjoys a certain amount of scientific plausibility.
In fact, of major earthquakes out West and perhaps even the
asteroidal menace, one might say that the risk is 100%: “not if, but when”.
Most of these scenarios also involve at least a small degree of
human complicity with the forces of doom.
Water is being depleted because we choose to waste it, rain is
acidifying because we choose to pollute the air, and even the
catastrophe wreaked by earthquakes depends somewhat upon our choice of
where and how to build our cities. I
should stress the obvious in the matter of human choice, as well: none
of the calamities has been projected as the grim consequence of deficient personal morality rather than of social and economic
policy. That is, when “we
choose” to pollute or abuse or ignore, we are not really choosing
individually at all: those in charge of our lives, rather, are failing
us. Dour prophets warn that
large factories are permitted to foul the air, that Las Vegas is
permitted to sap the Rocky Mountain water table, that pork-barrel
politics has robbed the public of adequate tsunami or asteroid detection
outposts. The suggestion is
never floated that the typical American citizen has turned his back on
frugality to embrace frivolity—disdaining close-to-home jobs for
better-paying ones, gambling and partying too often, hitting the beach
in a kind of gluttony for sun-bathing.
The natural threat is invariably related, sooner or later, to our
technology, whose liabilities are in turn related to greedy, wicked
people in positions of power.
Finally, and not without connection to the previous point, I
observe that most scenarios insist upon truly catastrophic die-offs in
spectacular events of flame, tumult, and collapse.
Only the water-shortage and acid-rain options lack this aspect.
Both of them—surely not by chance—were roiling the public
mind before the dissolution of the Soviet Union, when nuclear holocaust
still seemed an imminent possibility.
In other words, with the disappearance of the nuclear threat as a
likely “extermination event” for the human race, natural disasters
have proceeded to buy up the available shares of terror (as it were)
which flooded the market for mass hysteria.
I do not wish to imply that I view all of these gloomy forecasts
as the alarmist exaggerations of a public incapable of enjoying the
quiet life. They mostly
highlight real dangers, in some cases imminent dangers.
I honestly do not know the status of the mid-continental water
table or of the predations of acid rain.
The threat of earthquake to southern California, however, is
immense—a major event during rush hour could easily kill thousands, as
quakes have recently done in China and India.
In the case of collision-course asteroids and tsunamis, we appear
to enjoy a rather more advanced system of detection and early warning.
(Since tsunamis are an effect of mid-oceanic earthquakes and
volcanic eruptions, they offer us a kind of built-in recovery time even
when the earth’s crust takes our seismographs by surprise.)
In either case, we could probably avert catastrophe.
Even a metropolitan center could be largely evacuated in a day.
That New Orleans was given almost a week to clear its streets
before Hurricane Katrina made landfall and still bungled the job
deserves a closer look momentarily.
Local evacuation would make little difference in the final tally
of casualties inflicted by a meteorite of, say, a mile’s diameter, for
the vast majority of deaths would ensue months after impact, as crops
failed globally thanks to a thick haze of debris high in the atmosphere.
Yet we possess the technology at this instant to intercept such
an apocalyptic missile with a nuclear weapon whose detonation would
fragment it. The most
heavenly of the menaces is probably the least of our worries.
I wrote just above that I am ignorant of what inroads have been
made against the problems of depleted water resources and acid rain.
I am not a scientist or a specialist in any field relevant to
such issues. In a way, this
is precisely the point I wish to draw from the foregoing
discussion—for I was no more a specialist when water and rain were
front-page news than I am now. The
front page thrust them into my face.
These matters, that is, though they deserve to be taken
seriously, consistently have not been so over the past half-century,
during which span “impending natural calamity” has been a favorite
means of soliciting readership and viewership.
They have been handled exactly like “stories”—like
primetime serial melodramas whose denouement is referenced to a ticking
clock. Bored people enjoy
them: bored people enjoy being scared.
Will the bullet be dodged at the last possible instant, or will
Mr. Jones, CPA, be one of his species’ hundred surviving members?
Which scenario would Mr. Jones prefer
to see? (Mrs. Jones is a bit
long in the tooth; as forlorn castaways, the last beautiful women could
not well afford to be too choosey about which of the last men they
allowed into their bed to regenerate the race.)
Ms. Smith, teacher’s aid, a single parent with few prospects
for advancement, generally feels that the world has ganged up on her.
The notion of cosmic forces ganging up on the world is not
unpleasant—but there is also the child to think of, and Ms. Smith has
a quasi-religious faith in the ability of avuncular authorities to
defuse ticking time-bombs (which may say much about how she has allowed
men to reduce her personal life to a ruin).
All in all, the “catastrophe” theme is good for sales and
ratings. It appeals to a
great many latent fears and longings in a society with a great many
frustrations. If Catastrophe
did not exist, Man would have to invent it.
I repeat that I am not dismissing such high-risk behaviors as our
high-tech culture routinely adopts in its straining or violating of
natural law as the text of a wry joke.
It is because these risks are substantial—sometimes very
substantial—that our melodramatizing of them is itself risky.
We cry wolf. Eventually,
those among us who are bored with this antidote to boredom will mock our
cries by wearing wolf’s ears. There
is a kind of person who installs a back-yard swimming pool and buys a
gas-guzzling Humvee to putter around town in just because he has tired
of what he regards as “alarmist whining”.
The whiners are far more apt to inhabit the political Left, and
the polluters-and-proud-of-it the political Right.
One can well imagine that any exchange between two such
adversaries is unlikely to reach a truly responsible conclusion, no
matter which finally amasses more muscle on its side of the rope.
For both are responding to passion:
the Leftist is “passionate” about protecting the environment, while
the Rightest is “passionate” about protecting consumerist free
enterprise. The one truly
relevant datum here to mapping our most likely path of descent, then, is
the omnipresence of passion as a tolerable motive for major decisions.
The Leftist wears green baseball caps, drinks green tea, sorts
glass and plastic from his garbage, rides his bike to work, lets his
lawn’s grass grow unshorn, eats vegetarian, and buys only recycled
paper products. His
lifestyle is a role, a mission: it offers lines to utter for every
situation and gestures to mime in every crisis.
Some of his tactics may actually benefit the environment (e.g.,
bike-riding), some are mere tokens of tribal loyalty (e.g., clothing and
diet), and a few could even prove destructive of the cause to which he
claims abject dedication (e.g., the messy lawn: ticks, mosquitoes, and
other vermin complicate, aggravate, and sometimes abbreviate the
existence of higher life forms). He
may also cancel out all the virtuous petrol-abstinence so arduously
practiced on a bicycle’s seat by jetting to a couple of conferences or
“wilderness” vacations per year.
Passion rules good sense: acting the part trumps promoting the
desired end.
The Rightest, meanwhile, manicures his lawn to
golf-course perfection, prowls the city needlessly every evening in
search of “take-out” food and amusement, plunges for the latest
electronic gismos, spends Sunday afternoons sprawled before a
wide-screen projection of the football game, and packs his children off
to soccer practice and Tai Kwan Do after school.
The traditional virtues of thrift, temperance, industry, modesty,
humility, and gravity are little in evidence (though pressuring clients
to buy more insurance or computer upgrades or motor vehicles may qualify
as a certain kind of industry), or else patently contradicted (grass
trimmed beyond a certain point and kids forcibly enrolled in costly
extra-curricular tutelage are among our time’s pre-eminent forms of
bourgeois ostentation). But
how could he live otherwise? For
he, too, has fallen prey to passion: his inclinations weave a chain
around his neck. His acts
and utterances have all been choreographed and scripted to flatter basic
appetites. The space beyond
his part’s well-worn limits is needless hardship.
In short, I contend that the least resistible influence upon the
West’s collapse is not “the big one” due any time now along the
San Andreas Fault, but the incapacity of its citizens to live as
individual moral agents, rationally accepting or rejecting options on
the basis of their relation to objective goodness.
For instance, the automobile is a necessary evil: no other
portrayal of it makes any sense at all.
It is dirty, dangerous, and socially disruptive, and our common
moral ambition should be to eliminate it.
To the extent that we need it to cover the vast distances between
home and workplace and marketplace which we have allowed to open up
(largely in accommodation of the car’s technical parameters), our
problem is one of reconstructing the spaces where we sleep, eat, shop,
and work. Yet neither
side—neither Left nor Right—has any such plan on the drawing board.
The Left periodically proposes higher emission standards which
would force hundreds of American businesses to shut down or higher gas
taxes which would force millions of our poorest citizens into
destitution. The Right racks
its collective brain for ways to continue the existing dilemma—thereby
offering the single defensible explanation for its curious commandeering
of the word “conservative”. The
privileged bureaucratic class, in other words, cannot understand why
commoners are not eating cake when the price of bread goes up, while the
private-sector middle class cannot understand what’s so wrong about
wanting the latest model of car with a TV and
DVD
-player on board. Neither
side understands—there is a crisis of moral understanding.
The “way of life” to which both sides are inseparably wedded
can make no more convincing claim upon an impartial bystander than that
its adherents have laced their emotions through and through it.
The natural calamity, I believe, is much more than another
diversion to these people in full flight from responsible
self-examination. Now is not
the time to psychoanalyze the two political polarities and discuss in
detail just what appeal either of them finds in tales of a contemporary
Deluge or Vesuvius. Obviously,
the crowd on the Right could be expected to take rather more pleasure in
the scenario’s fireworks and special effects.
Not only does the Right appear to enjoy spectacle more (as
opposed to the catharsis of mass hysteria, where the Left’s affections
incline): anything on the order of The Last Days of Pompeii offers ample scope for individual action
and unhampered freedom during the critical hours when survivors struggle
against chaos. On the Left,
consumers of so nightmarish a narrative are more likely to perceive it
as an allegory of corrupt leadership—or even of an outraged Mother
Earth punishing the entire race for condoning the hybris of a few.
To the Left-leaning audience, that is, the scenario is less
entertaining than sacral—i.e., enabling of proper worship.
For I should say nothing new in remarking that environmental
causes are the Left’s religion: the sequence of garden, custodianship,
violated command, and severe punishment is clearly visible just beneath
the surface of any Left-wing crusade in this direction.
A Right-tending filmmaker, we might summarize, might choose to
threaten the Earth with a rogue asteroid, while a Left-leaning one would
prefer the rupturing of the government’s hush-hush nuclear waste dumps
in an earthquake… but, as I say, such is not my theme here.
I would stress, instead, the remaining member of the Doomsday
Scenario’s recurrent characteristics: the refusal to admit any genuine
personal culpability. For if
the Left postpones guilt until it clings to the highest levels of
leadership, the Right tends to evade the issue entirely: again, one
hears no homilist on either side exhorting us simply to shut down Las
Vegas, simply to resuscitate farming as a livelihood, or simply to stop
dividing our residences from the rest of our lives. Indeed,
my perception is that the alleged phenomenon of global warming has
considerable traction in both camps, and
that both are comfortable indicting mysterious forces atop the
political-economic hierarchy for it.
A Rightest is infinitely less apt to reproach certain
senators for not supporting the Kyoto Accord’s limits on emissions,
and infinitely more to mention China’s ruthless charge into the
future, asphyxiate who may. What
we do not hear from him is an entirely different program for living in
the tradition of New England Puritanism or Ohio Valley Quakerism or
Southern agrarianism. The
residue of the “hippy” fringe is perhaps closer to making an
“alternative lifestyle” proposal… but then again, maybe not.
Just as electric amplifiers were essential to that fringe in its
original form, so its present morphos
relies heavily upon digital amusements.
At some relatively superficial level, responsibility for the
planetary crisis always shifts to the Establishment.
One’s personal conveniences and fantasies must not be
jeopardized.
Global warming, as a socio-political phenomenon (where it is
incontestably real), is the crystallization of our collective
finger-pointing and role-playing. Companies
market products by touting their absurdly minuscule reduction of some
minor pollutant. Schools
announce the planting of a few trees about the campus with much fanfare,
though their buses continue to belch soot all about the city twice a
day. We all rush to embrace
the “do your little bit” approach, since it is the reverse side of
heaping a guilty onus upon a select few: a personal conscience cleansed
with a dime. Traffic is
indeed cited as the primary contributor to greenhouse gases in all the
summations of the theory that I have seen, yet citizens of almost every
political persuasion cannot seem to stake out a coherent position on any
series of issues related to transportation.
Municipal governments persist in constructing loops around their
city limits to ease rush-hour “slow goes”, despite ample evidence
that more roads draw more traffic as a magnet draws metal shavings.
Car manufacturers boast of cleaner-running engines, yet the
miles-per-gallon averaged by their products have increased over the past
decade in response to the public’s clear preference for heavier,
higher-suspended vehicles. The
most zealous environmentalists—people who, perhaps, ride bicycles to
work—are among the most enthusiastic supporters of open international
borders (about which, more anon). Yet
a vast infusion of day-laborers, constantly driving to new temporary
work sites in vehicles neither properly inspected (if not legally
registered) nor state-of-the-art, has immensely exacerbated air
pollution in southwestern cities.
We are a shallow people, and the major threat to our
civilization’s sustained survival is, precisely, our shallowness.
The thick lather of indignation over the flawed evacuation of New
Orleans before Hurricane Katrina made landfall is surely the most
stunning monument to our absurd ineptitude.
Hundreds of people perished needlessly, some of them having
freely chosen to take their chances, some of them allegedly having
lacked the resources to depart. Yet
the resources necessary were minimal, since a high alert was publicized
five days in advance; and, in any case, one must suppose that local
government and volunteer help from private organizations like churches
would or could have taken up the slack.
Of course, subsequent indignation centered upon the failure of
state and (especially) federal agencies to provide timely relief after
the catastrophe. The
decision fatally embraced by the victims to stay put—and other
decisions not to dissuade them vigorously which their neighbors must
have reached in many cases—never fall under scrutiny.
The personal tragedies which ensued are packaged as nothing less
than a plot hatched in the White House.
II.
Plague
At first glance, the plague appears to be an entirely natural
phenomenon—and so it is, if one considers it strictly as
phenomenon (i.e., as a fact whose reality begins as soon as it becomes
visible). Massive die-offs
due to infection are common throughout all tiers of biological
existence, in both plants and animals.
Indeed, our own time’s tendency is again to belittle or ignore
the element of choice in human epidemics, as if we were so many microbes
in a Petrie dish. Nothing
could be more absurd—or more patently illustrative of why human
plagues are often not natural
calamities—than the selling of the AIDS epidemic over the past two
decades as a guilt-free thunderclap: essentially, a stroke of bad luck.
In North America, where most of the HIV-infected were not born
so, this is plainly inaccurate. Homosexual
activity is definitively unnatural if one simply builds statistics upon
mammalian behavior, the specific high-risk behavior here has always been
the opting for promiscuous
activity, and intravenous drug use is also a deliberately chosen
series of acts. Yet AIDS has
been aggressively represented to the public as a fatal version of the
common cold. Apparently, it
was not unheard-of in the early days of this scourge for certain men
infected with the HIV virus to spread their contagion to unsuspecting
women with careful premeditation so as to “upgrade” the disease’s
moral status to a pure misfortune. As
we have already seen, the American masses were well primed to adopt the
desired view, for Americans tend to see any sort of catastrophe—public
or private, medical or natural or financial—as engineered by wicked
authorities rather than admitted by personal decision.
Furthermore, a few homosexuals in recent years have publicized
their active attempts to become infected, a suicidal behavior which once
more reminds us that catastrophe is an antidote to boredom.
But what about the common cold—or a common case of winter
influenza? Our society has
lately been harrowed with rumors that a major outbreak—a pandemic—of
“bird flu” (borne by migratory wildfowl from Southeast Asia all
around the world, then spread among domesticated fowl and thence to
other animals and to humans) is poised to cut our numbers in half,
perhaps. Might some particle
of “lifestyle choice” affect the dreadful progress of such a
scourge? At a certain level,
yes: certainly more so than in the case of an Earth-asteroid collision
or a volcanic eruption. One
of the major factors in the spread of any plague is frequent long
travel. European merchants
didn’t understand this in the days of Marco Polo, nor European
explorers in the days of Columbus. We
understand it very well now, however—yet never have so many people
traveled so far so frequently. We
travel for amusement as well as for profit: we travel simply to “get
away”. The best-educated
travel expensively to conferences several times a year, even though
staying at home and reading dozens or hundreds of position-papers has
never been easier. The
wealthy travel in order to spend their wealth; the retired travel in
order to convince themselves that the shackles of routine have truly
been struck off.
Besides compounding problems involving traffic and pollution, and
besides wearing the traveler’s physical resistance down due to
decreased exercise and irregular diet, these habits jeopardize everybody
back home who is likely to come in contact with the returned
globe-trotter, now a breeding ground for opportunistic infections.
Yet I must repeat (at the risk of belaboring the point) that
nobody during the bird-flu scare’s opening volley of advice and
reproaches ever hinted that our North American lifestyle is really
rather frivolous, and that we would have to worry far less about this
sort of misery if we would make our local communities more habitable,
learn how to read for pleasure, and take up gardening.
To this day, such a strand of argument has not worked its way
into the public debate. Because
of our continued resistance to changes in our basic habits, and now
because the first bird-flu alarm has proved a false one (the “cry
wolf” syndrome again), we are probably more vulnerable to decimation
by plague than we have been since the discovery of penicillin.
For the fact remains that wandering people, not migrating geese,
are responsible for all of the few reported cases of Avian Influenza in
this hemisphere; yet the unsanitary conditions which nurtured the flu in
Southeast Asia are being replicated—with an official determination to
court disaster and an official indifference to the risks—even as I
write these words. Diseases
such as tuberculosis and leprosy have grown exotic in our part of the
world, the scourges of distant times and places (like the Black Plague
itself). Now, however, with
the throwing open of its southern border to millions of destitute
immigrants unschooled in basic hygiene, the U. S. is transforming its
cities into incubators for such all-but-extinct contagions.
In Dallas public schools, diagnosed cases of tuberculosis have
skyrocketed. Most disturbing
is that new strains of the bacillus are proving untreatable with
existing antibiotics: as we saturate our national pharmacopia in
thousands and thousands of cases bred not only in dense populations, but
also newly and constantly mixed populations, we are writing the perfect
recipe for the invincible infection.
The phrase “melting pot” is acquiring a new, morbid meaning.
Of course, penurious refugees from the wastes of Chihuahua can be
supposed to understand the mechanism of bacteriological infection no
better than (if even as well as) Boccaccio’s Florentines.
The typical American citizen, however, is fully aware that
sneezing in somebody’s face, drinking from somebody else’s glass, or
eating a morsel that has occupied an unclean place can cause illness.
Yet many very well-educated Americans, apparently—occupying
positions of private ownership and public leadership—are not alarmed
at the probable consequences of unleashing Third World health habits
upon the high-tech metropolis, where people of all walks of life can
cover vastly more miles and mingle with vastly more sub-populations
during the average day than they would in Mexico.
When a treatment-resistant strain of TB finally sweeps across the
nation (and, as with the 8.5 earthquake in southern California, it’s
only a matter of time), the response will be the same as it was to the
first tiny outbreaks of bird flu—and, for that matter, to Hurricane
Katrina and to the “Christmas tsunami”: “Where were the
reinforcements? Why were our
rulers not fully prepared to intercept this threat, or at least
neutralize its aftermath? What
plot is being hatched against us good, ordinary people at the very
highest levels?”
III
.
Technological Short-Circuit
Most of us have known the frustration of being stuck in a power
outage after a violent electrical storm or, perhaps, a wintry blizzard.
Practically every amenity in our environment, all of our tools at
work, all of our amusements at play—our garage doors, our lights, our
heating and air conditioning, our ovens and microwaves, our clocks, our
hair-dryers, our computers, our televisions, our stereos—our
whole world is electronic. Suddenly
deprived of this magical current, we are apt to reflect (if we are at
all thoughtful) upon what utter havoc a protracted breakdown would
wreak. Water would not be
treated at municipal plants; essential transactions could not be made at
bank windows; traffic lights would not work.
In the Robert Wise sci-fi classic, The
Day the Earth Stood Still, the benign but stern Martian visitor
impresses upon the world’s recalcitrant population the gravity of his
mission by shutting down everything electrical for one hour.
His point is soon taken.
Computers have probably heightened our awareness of
vulnerability. In the early
days of the word-processor, many of us were introduced to the exquisite
frustration of losing every trace of an important document because we
had not saved it properly. Such
lapses were almost routine. In
the case of yesteryear’s typed or printed document assembled from
handwritten notes, an entire building would have to burn down to wipe
out one’s hard labor so completely.
Important e-mails continue regularly to go astray in ways that
the layman cannot begin to understand, and cell phone reception is
notoriously unreliable.
The notion of our slave Technology’s rising up like Spartacus
and throwing our empire into chaos, therefore, is not at all far-fetched
to us. It is an experience
which we have known on a small scale, and which hence need only be
magnified to produce a disaster narrative.
In contrast, most people cannot begin to formulate an image of
what assault by tsunami or asteroid would be like.
This particular pest, because we have already been dosed with its
toxin in tiny amounts, seems less exotic all the time.
The 2001 in which Stanley Kubrick projected his Space
Odyssey has now come and gone; the Mutiny of the Computer, having
become part of our cultural drill in a small way, has lost its teeth.
The boy has cried “wolf” too often.
The truth is that we are probably less prepared for this kind of
calamity, more exposed to its real occurrence in some devastating form,
and more inept at reading its early rumbles than in the case of any
disaster so far discussed. Earlier
in this essay, I have accused North Americans of not understanding, of
being shallow, and of not recognizing the significance of personal
choice in their affairs. These
charges are fundamentally the same charge, and it has repeatedly
surfaced when technology was under consideration.
Technology is what we do not understand adequately; technology is
rendering us shallow; technology obscures to our eyes the importance of
our own choices—and even the existence of those choices.
We are uniquely exposed to technological abuses or miscues, in my
opinion, because we seldom have any notion of just what’s at stake in
a high-tech crisis of the simplest kind.
I admitted that I myself have only the weakest intellectual grasp
of what issues currently surround our water supply or the acidification
of rain. I am clearly not
alone in being puzzled about the degree to which global warming is fact
rather than theory (I am indeed joined, it seems, by a great many
climatologists); and this, like the various concerns about ground- and
rain-water, is at last a matter of how the modern production of energy
and material affects the environment (for no one would be very exercised
about rising temperatures or falling water tables if the trend turned
out to represent a natural cycle). We
are outraged when “science” doesn’t warn us of a coming earthquake
or tsunami, or when it fails to predict a hurricane’s path reliably
enough that no boy at the National Weather Service can be suspected of
crying wolf. We tend to view
the persistence of heart disease and cancer as a national disgrace, just
as a fairly common opinion holds that AIDS could be cured next year if
the medical community would really apply itself.
These views, I would emphasize, come from people who are shocked
at the damage done by a motor vehicle “barely moving” at 30 miles
per hour, who will chatter away on a cell phone while watching an
electrical storm, who believe that an old keyboard tossed in the trash
will disintegrate at the landfill like apple cores and leftover
spaghetti, and who expect to cheat sleep year after year with caffeine
while suffering no long-term ill effects.
North Americans are ignoramuses about every kind of science, from
physics to meteorology to anatomy. So
is virtually everyone else in the world, for that matter.
The scientist’s calling is that of a specialist—and few
people can specialize, by definition.
(Even the nuclear physicist usually knows nothing about
engineering, and the cardiologist nothing about nutrition.)
But the great danger is that we are immersed in applied science
as no other culture on earth, although many are overtaking us rapidly.
They, too, will soon share our dilemma.
Their lives will be awash in gadgetry which makes no more sense
to them than a wristwatch to a caveman.
They will grow very familiar only with what these marvels are
supposed to do when the right buttons are pressed in the right
succession (and making such sequences simple is known as being
“user-friendly”—a euphemism for burying every last trace of the
mystery and enhancing the false sense of security).
Were a vast network of such things to malfunction in unison,
whether by accident or design, not one in ten thousand of us could take
effective action.
The most homespun and “scaled down” example of this risk is
the minor catastrophe of a fatal car wreck.
Drivers have grown quite anesthetized to the risks they incur
when traveling at 60 or 70 miles per hour—to the point, indeed, that
they suppose themselves freed up to handle phones or food or radio
dials. We feel ourselves to
be entirely in command. What
we do not feel is the extremely fine edge of that command: one instant
of inattention or one over-correction, and we could end several lives on
the highway around us as well as our own.
Imagine now that a mechanical failure were to occur at high
speed. Even the most
conscientious driver, ignorant of the warning signs and of the
malfunction’s immediate effects, would be diving off Niagara Falls in
a barrel, just as if he were one more drunk behind the wheel.
The tally of traffic fatalities per annum is already approaching
that of the entire Vietnam War. It
is symptomatic of our dense insulation from such realities that we do
not even style the figure—more than double that of China’s Tangshan
earthquake in 1976—as a calamity.
Yet the most relevant class of cases involving misidentified or
ignored technological menace may be found in the file devoted to
terrorist attacks. From the
evening of
September 11, 2001
, until this very instant, the techniques of Al Qaeda have been praised
or damned as “sophisticated”. They
are nothing of the sort. They
are astute, but not sophisticated. They
involve the mere exploitation of loosely stitched seams in our high-tech
lifestyle’s fabric. We
happen to have many such seams. One
of these is the number of conveyances moving at anywhere from three to
15 times a racehorse’s fastest gallop with a high volume and density
of travelers on board—at least dozens, often hundreds.
One stumble, and the contemporary iron horse spills all his
riders like grape shot fired out of a cannon… so the trick is to
figure out how to catch a hoof. In
the case of a bullet-train or a jetliner, this turns out to be
remarkably easy. No one
remembers now, but shortly before 9/11, a favorite scenario for disaster
was widespread “metal fatigue” in commercial jets (a theme at least
as old as the classic James Stewart film, No
Highway in the Sky). To
our terrorist-obsessed mentality, every new plane crash or train
derailment is immediately assumed to conceal another dastardly plot; yet
the plain truth is that such disasters were already occurring frequently
of their own accord before twisted young men armed themselves with
box-cutters.
Our techniques of mass transportation are quite terrifying in and
of themselves.
Another
seam ever ready to split in contemporary habits of living is the
skyscraper. Terrorist
masterminds were at first somewhat overmatched by the task of destroying
a high-rise’s inhabitants in North America, where building codes are
more stringent than in other parts of the world.
Yet the edifice need not be toppled: if simply set on fire, its
occupants will be trapped like rats on the proverbial sinking ship.
Civilian targets in tall structures could also be struck by a
massive curb-side explosion—the equivalent of an IRA “supermarket
bomb” ignited in a locality where the supermarket is a multi-tiered
complex. Timothy McVeigh did
not induce the Murrah Building in Oklahoma City to collapse—he simply
took off one of its faces at a time when most of the chambers were
occupied, and this with no more than a rented truck and some fertilizer.
Timing, of course, is of the essence.
A commercial tower leveled in the dead of night would not only
possess little photogeneity: it would claim relatively few victims.
We remarked that time would be a major factor, too, in
determining the devastation inflicted by a Los Angeles earthquake.
Our masses move to the clock’s tempo: many of our machines
require some sort of chronological coordination—perhaps internal,
perhaps with other machines—in order to reach their peak performance.
Yet many also do not. Indeed,
I can think of no apparent reason why office space would not be
maximally utilized if workers came and went around the clock.
Traffic would certainly be diminished, fuel consumption would be
reduced, opportunities for ancillary businesses (e.g., all-night coffee
shops or gyms next to office buildings) would be multiplied, and general
stress would be relieved (assuming that the round-the-clock regimen
translated into greater flexibility of schedules).
In this case, I believe we may divine one of the machine’s
greatest menaces: that its habits are infectious to neighboring humans.
Instead of acquiring greater freedom thanks to the machine’s
having liberated us from the sun and the seasons, we spring to life far
more rigidly at the alarm’s claxon than any farmer ever did at
cockcrow. We steadily create
new technology that allows us to “cheat” a little—drugged drinks
to wake us up faster or new conveyances or routes to get us to the job
on time. We do not, however,
seem to spend much thought on creating jobs that begin or resume when
we’re ready—at dawn, at sundown, at 2 a.m.
The truth is that there were many more such jobs in the past than
there are now: the carpenter’s, the seamstress’s, the baker’s, the
writer’s.
So technical catastrophe is not invited only by the physical
structuring of contemporary North American life, with its emphasis on
breakneck speed and precariously juggled population densities; the
short-circuit may also occur in our own nervous systems, one individual
at a time yet with plague-like abundance.
It is difficult to compare the nature and extent of nervous
disorders from one generation to another, and certainly from one century
to another: many ailments were not even identified as such in the past,
many today are obscured or mitigated by advanced treatments,
circumstantial factors such as diet and exercise have changed radically,
and so forth. Nevertheless,
the deterioration of manners in recent generations has achieved an
acceptance so near to the universal that it has grown to be a cliché.
People certainly seem to be more tense.
Anecdotal evidence abounds—some of us can even remark an
increased aggression in our own deportment as the electron has sped up
everything we do. To argue
that North Americans already suffer from a plague of machine-inspired
neuralgia, then, does not seem at all far-fetched.
Of course, the most popular scenarios for cultural dissolution
involve something more explicit and dramatic: a take-over by robots, for
instance (the projection, one might say, of 2001: A Space Odyssey into the terrestrial and the bourgeois).
Several reputed scientists and technicians have lately created a
stir by suggesting that robots will, in fact, supplant the human species
eventually.
This narrative seems to have enjoyed a considerable magnetism
upon our audiences for generations already, if one may view the highly
mechanized aliens in H. G. Wells’s War of the Worlds as robotic (or, to adjoin the ridiculous to the
sublime, take those devils-on-coasters, the Daleks, from the campy Dr.
Who series). What most
interests me about the scenario here—perhaps the only one in this
group which truly and persistently captures the popular imagination—is
that it once again minimizes the citizen’s willful collaboration in
the process of decline. We
drive cars, we hop aboard elevators, we log on to computers… but we
have no apparent hand in “artificial intelligence”.
Some Frankenstein-like figure in a white coat invented it,
perhaps an evil genius, perhaps simply a naïve introvert who failed to
foresee his plaything’s ruinous consequences.
In any case, the fault is not ours.
We may admit it as a collective guilt, for such guilt costs us
nothing personally (and may, indeed, ennoble us personally for
“admitting” to a sin on behalf of others).
Nothing we do in our quotidian routine, however, seems to bear
the remotest relation to this reified menace of circuitry.
By agreeing to fear our technology in this form, we have yet
again succeeded in missing the point.
IV.
Weapons of Mass Destruction
No discussion of doomsday scenarios would be complete without The
Bomb. The Baby-Boomer
generation was raised in the shadow of a mushroom cloud: some North
Americans can recall actually drilling for nuclear attack in school the
way youngsters do today for tornados.
(The tornado sirens used in early warning systems around the U.
S. were actually developed back in the fifties as alarms for incoming
Russian missiles.) Nuclear
weapons have the “advantage” over other forms of catastrophe, from
the standpoint of “doomsday credibility”, that they have indeed been
used and that their effects were indeed immensely more widespread in
time and space than anyone had predicted (another example, by the
way—the preeminent one—of technology’s tendency to exceed even the
understanding of its specialist creators).
A-Bombs and H-Bombs well support the thesis that a general
exchange of them would end life on Earth.
They constitute a special class of technology which we need
not—probably should not—attempt to squeeze under the foregoing
rubric; for, while as distant from most of our daily lives as robots,
they have none of the robot’s potential for farming ocean bottoms and
mining planetary surfaces. They
are invincibly extraordinary: their purpose is to obliterate the ordinary and
plunge reality back into primal chaos.
This malodorous reputation clings to nuclear power even when
attempts are made to harness it as domestic energy.
In the popular mind, it will remain a “bomb”, first and
foremost. The identification
may not be ill-advised, especially with the proliferation of terrorism
around the world and the painful revelation that none of our security
systems is fully secure. For
all that, I suspect that the most popular narrative is once again among
the least likely: not the least serious, but among the easiest to avert.
A missile or a bomb must be delivered, and airborne weapons can
be detected and destroyed in flight.
Something like the defensive net of satellites proposed by
President Reagan, and which was at once derided with the tag “Star
Wars”, will probably soon be in place over North America.
An infinitely more disturbing
WMD
, given the relative ease of introducing it into the target society, is
the bacteriological weapon. A
vial poured into a major city’s water supply or a highly infectious
bacterium like anthrax dusted over a few large crowds could leave
millions dead, and its lingering effects could be just as difficult to
purge from the environment as radioactive fallout.
The evidence that Saddam Hussein was developing such weapons
included the blunt fact that he had already gassed dozens of Kurdish
villages (leaving tens of thousands of non-combatants dead in their
tracks) and that his own scientists confessed to having developed such a
hellish arsenal.
Yet both the popular mind and the Bush Administration fixed upon
the image of a mushroom cloud. The
question of where, exactly, Saddam’s vials and dishes of “Satan
Bug” ended up has been left not only unanswered, but unasked.
If the nuclear bomb overlaps with the renegade robot as a
portrait in high-tech evil, then the bacteriological weapon overlaps
with the naturally occurring plague.
To infuse a population with smallpox would be to “jump-start”
Mother Nature down one of her most destructive paths.
The factors which make of the pandemic a harrowing possibility
today—enormous concentrations of people moving over unprecedented
distances with unprecedented speed and frequency—also elevate the
planted contagion to the status of a “dirty bomb”.
The suitcase-bomb with fissionable material would at least give a
quick death to immediate bystanders, and its long-term effects could be
circumscribed and anticipated within a fairly specific area.
The infused bug would have neither redeeming quality.
Let us not suppose, either, that only governments, or
government-sponsored paramilitary groups, would have access to it.
A deranged lab technician could conceivably slip a vial into his
pocket and head for the mall. The
scare created one week after 9/11 over certain items of mail dusted with
anthrax points to just such an individual or minute group.
The coverage of that story exposed that such living time-bombs as
anthrax and smallpox can be rather easily obtained from their “secure
storage” for purposes of “research”.
V.
The Most Likely Scenario
I am a great consumer these days neither of science-fiction
novels nor of “disaster genre” movies.
I have tried to create an inventory of what appear to me the most
widely circulated narratives into which our national anxiety about the
decline of the West has been compressed in recent years; and I have
tried to leaven this mass of material, furthermore, with what I perceive
to be less publicized and less naive versions of the story.
That is, I have sought to knead the whole from inventory to
taxonomy—to impose certain priorities, at least by implication.
The metaphor of raw dough is not entirely inapt, for the
substance with which I have worked does not lend itself to clear
separation. We have seen
that commonly styled natural calamities tend to overlap with the effects
of our technology on the environment, that plagues are also part natural
and part consequence of “lifestyle” choices, that technology itself
is widely perceived by the masses as a “given” of nature and its
malfunction hence as “bad luck” or “an act of God”,
and that weapons of mass destruction substantially intersect both the
region of high-tech and that of nature (in the form of plagues).
The ultimate end of such an exercise, of course, cannot be simply
to produce a curious arrangement of diverse objects.
A responsible investigator must look over the whole and attempt
to reach a reasonable conclusion about which scenarios are the more
likely ones—for we are not, all metaphor aside, merely surveying beads
on a string or a recipe for making bread: we are contemplating the
possible collapse of North American society, as precipitated by a
catastrophic event that will prove too much for its waning or
overstretched energies. Anyone
who can raise a warning should do so.
I will immediately observe in response to this challenge that a
major catastrophe may surely occur without jeopardizing society’s
survival. Earthquakes,
volcanic eruptions, and tidal waves will
happen, and some of them will claim thousands of lives despite our
best efforts at prevention and preparation.
I find that one of this topic’s most fascinating lessons,
therefore, lies in the popular mind’s tendency to associate such
events with societal collapse. The
earthquake, the tsunami, and especially global warming have all been
presented in fiction and on film lately as likely
to disrupt the North American way of life irreparably.
A foregone conclusion of personal vulnerability and general
ineptitude seems to rest at the bedrock level beneath every narrative.
These scenarios, at least as much as anticipations of natural
cycle, are symptoms of an advanced moral anemia.
Americans do not feel in control of their lives, and they readily
flinch when the shadow of some major event requiring accommodation or
change falls over their shoulder.
I remarked time and again throughout my survey—I could not
restrain myself from a commentary so patently justified—that all
varieties of disaster show a tendency to thrust whatever measure of
human responsibility may exist onto the “higher-ups”.
The proliferation of a dreadful disease has no more to do with
one’s personal decisions than whether rain will fall tomorrow; the
failure of traffic to move smoothly indicts poor planning on the part of
corrupt or stupid politicians, and the pollution dumped by so many cars
into the atmosphere clearly proves that manufacturers have bribed
Congress to settle for low emission standards.
The jet which struck the first World Trade Tower was (though
nobody now recalls this) immediately assumed to have veered off course
through pilot error, and we were told that such accidents had in fact
been fearfully anticipated when the towers were constructed; yet the
emphasis at once and permanently shifted when the terrorist plot
surfaced (except for some talk of suing the construction company because
the sprinkler system malfunctioned).
The presumptuous height of the Towers ceased being an issue: they
had done it—the others, the bad guys!
Several pieces of the puzzle’s most likely picture, then, must
be drawn from a condition which precedes all specific disasters: the
persistent and characteristic evasion of personal responsibility notable
in Americans’ responses to calamity.
Why have we surrendered to this sad ebb of morale?
The chief culprit in my view would be our technology: we are so
accustomed to having vast amounts of labor done for us by systems which
we don’t begin to understand that shut-downs, break-downs, and
melt-downs may always credibly be laid at the door of “them”.
How can we be responsible for something which we personally
didn’t build, can’t repair, and can’t explain?
A house was constructed, and we bought it: what did we know about
mud-slides? A desirable
apartment in a high-rise came available, and we rented it: were we not
entitled to assume that someone
was protecting us from stray aircraft?
I believe that the average American’s profound ignorance of how
his technology works is a major national problem, and growing day by
day. We are asked to approve
a bond for a new loop around town in order to reduce traffic, having no
knowledge whatever of the rigid connection between such projects and increased
traffic. We are asked to
oppose the construction of a nuclear power plant on a ballot initiative,
abysmally ignorant of what environmental costs a conventional coal plant
will exact or of whether the nuclear option can in fact function safely.
The personal computer has been part of my life for about twenty
years: has there been a single study of entering college freshmen, from
the cradle to the present, who grew up before the PC?
Parents were once warned not to let their children sit within
five feet of a television: what unwholesome effects are observable in a
generation which has spent its collective life within two feet of these
new screens—or held them in its lap?
Is such a study being designed even now?
Do we know the long-term effects of wearing an earpiece all day
long which pipes in loud music? The
public bristled a few years ago over rumors that cell phones produce
brain tumors, and a few years before that over rumors that power lines
over one’s residence produce all kinds of cancers.
Both rumors were eventually shot down derisively… but how many
more plausible worries will never reach the status of a rumor because
the boy has already cried “wolf” twice?
At a subliminal level, if not consciously, most of us must surely
be somewhat nervous. And
there are more practical, even political reasons to fidget.
When all of your financial transactions are at last done online,
how vulnerable will you be to the kind of savvy depredation which
plunders life-savings from a terminal?
How will you guard your identity and private information?
What if the whole system “crashes” in a massive and
protracted power outage, caused either by accident or malicious design?
What if the public is allowed to vote by computer—how difficult
will election fraud be then, when online surveys are already notoriously
hard to police for “stuffing the box”?
How much personal information will intelligence agencies extract
about us, with or without legal permission?
How much truth are we likely to be told by our leaders when
rhetorical “spin” can be vetted before a focus group in an hour,
then finessed and fed to the general public according to cues from
electronic polling? How easy
will we be to lead about by the nose—how hard will we find it to dig
in our heels and not be led?
The kinds of situation I have just sketched out
are already first-tier disasters for our society.
Natural disasters will occur on their own time and without our
provocation—but our moral disaster will compound them.
People unwilling to leave their homes as a hurricane descends, or
all too willing to build homes on a fault line, because “it’s out of
their hands” and, in any case, “they will be taken care of”…
people unwilling to change their travel plans just because the
flu season has turned virulent, or all too willing to engage in exotic
sexual activity, because “you can die slipping in the bath tub” and,
in any case, “modern medicine can handle it”….
Such crises will certainly be exacerbated by the misplaced
fatalism and obtuse trust in higher powers typical of contemporary North
America. Technological
malfunction will abound, for the same reason.
Seismometers will not prove quite accurate enough, antibiotics not quite potent enough, because this population will have allowed
itself to pressure existing resources to the breaking point.
Traffic will grind to a halt, and computer systems will black
out—but the public outcry will demand only more highways and more
fiber-optic cable. Malevolent
souls will exploit the universal stress of every network for their
wicked ends, tossing in a wrench, loosening a rail, crossing a couple of
wires. Public outrage will
demand more police, better-welded joints,
and “hack-proof” software.
Though an excessive reliance on technology has created the
problem, the only solution recognized by our citizens’ passive
mentality is yet another technological appendage; for, since they did
not understand the original miracle before it malfunctioned, they cannot
understand why a supplemental miracle should not correct the
malfunction.
In such a scenario, an elite coterie high in the central
government could conceivably transform the political landscape.
Elections might well be engineered, or voters otherwise
manipulated. A deceased hero
might even be resurrected digitally and appear on screens everywhere to
solicit votes or support. The
potential for propaganda would free itself from all practical
limitation—entire nations could be invented and then obliterated,
invasions by interplanetary pirates mounted and repelled, without the
viewing public’s being any the wiser.
Contagions could be selectively released and “steered” like a
raging forest fire so as to eliminate certain undesirable demographic
elements. All sorts of
comic-book caliber narratives could suddenly find accommodation in the
twenty-first century’s now highly plastic reality.
I return to the affirmation, though, that these exotic nightmares
are no more than the endgame of a society whose primary catastrophe was
to lose its will power. If I
put it thus Delphicly in closing, I hope I will now make sense: our best
defense against an asteroid on a collision-course with us may be to stop
buying every new gadget. We
should begin striving to understand as well as we can whatever
technology we allow into our lives; what we do not well understand, we
should allow to affect as small a part of our lives as possible.
Being surrounded by incomprehensible switches, levers, and
buttons is diminishing—not enhancing—our technical skill.
What good would an asteroid-shooting laser-gun do us—a device
understood by all of half a dozen people on earth—if not even these
happy few could calculate how the original rock’s fragments would
behave? How will we know
whether the elite six would misuse the gun?
How would they know
whether its side-effects might poison the atmosphere?
How will we know that the asteroid or the gun exists, either one,
and that we are not being manipulated by a propagandistic fabrication?
Free people cannot live like this.
If we are to inhabit so complex a world, then our society can
only preserve its freedom by placing an immensely greater value on
seeing things clearly and weighing things soberly.
Notes
Cf.,
“Will Spiritual Robots Replace Humanity by 2100?”
a symposium held at
Stanford
University
on
April 1, 2000
. Conference
notes appear at http://www.ceptualinstitute.c